Economist

Ajornie Taylor

PhD Student in Economics

I am a Ph.D. student in Economics at the University of Calgary, with research interests in energy economics, environmental economics, and industrial organization. I am especially interested in how firms and consumers respond to policy changes, market conditions, and geopolitical shocks, particularly in energy markets.

Energy Economics Applied Econometrics Industrial Organization Commodity Markets
Ajornie Taylor
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About

I am a P.hD. Student in Economics at the University of Calgary. My research lies at the intersection of energy economics, industrial organization, applied econometrics, and international economics.

A central theme of my work is understanding how geopolitical events and policy interventions change the behavior of firms and markets. I am particularly interested in oil and petroleum markets, sanctions, international trade, competition, price transmission, maritime activity, and energy security.

My research combines large administrative and commercial datasets with causal inference, panel econometrics, event study designs, time-series methods, and machine learning techniques.

Research

My research examines energy markets, geopolitical shocks, sanctions, competition, pricing, and firm behavior.

Working Paper

Russian Oil Sanctions and the Reallocation of Economic Rents

Ajornie Taylor

This paper examines how Western sanctions on Russian oil affected a major non-sanctioning buyer. Using refinery, trade, benchmark-price, and retail fuel data from India, I study how discounted Russian crude altered refinery production, margins, and domestic price transmission. The results provide evidence on how sanctions redistribute economic rents across producers, intermediaries, and consumers.

Research in Progress

Independent Retailers as Shock Absorbers: Competition and Fuel Price Responses

Ajornie Taylor

Research in Progress

Do Pricing Algorithms Change Tax Pass-Through? Station-Level Evidence from Germany’s Fuel-Tax Cut

Ajornie Taylor and Boyi Yuan

Paper Slides
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Publications

Peer-reviewed research published in academic journals.

Economic Modelling, 2026

The Workforce Paradox: Do Extreme Natural Disasters Accelerate or Undermine Labour Productivity?

Nadine McCloud, Wendel Ivey, and Ajornie Taylor

This paper studies the long-run economic consequences of extreme natural disasters using Hurricane Gilbert in Jamaica as a case study. Using synthetic control methods, we find that labour productivity increased in the years immediately following the hurricane but declined substantially over the longer term. The results highlight how the economic effects of major natural disasters can persist for decades, even when the initial recovery appears relatively strong.

Economic Modelling, Volume 154, 107361.

Empirical Economics, 2022

Does Inflation Targeting Matter for International Trade? A Synthetic Control Analysis

Nadine McCloud and Ajornie Taylor

This paper examines whether adopting an inflation-targeting regime affects international trade. Using synthetic control methods across a group of developed and developing economies, we compare the evolution of trade after inflation targeting with counterfactual outcomes for each country. The results show that the effects of inflation targeting on trade differ considerably across countries and over time.

Empirical Economics, Volume 63, Issue 5, pp. 2427–2478.

Teaching

Economics Courses

Teaching Assistant / Instructor

University of Calgary

Macroeconomics

Teaching Assistant

University of Calgary

Applied Economics

Teaching and instructional support

Undergraduate Economics

Experience

Selected academic, research, and professional experience.

Current
PhD Student in Economics
University of Calgary

Research in energy economics, applied econometrics, industrial organization, and commodity markets.

Research Experience
Research Assistant
Academic Research Projects

Research involving energy markets, oil and gas, international economics, machine learning, and applied econometrics.

Professional Experience
Economist / Research Experience
Economic and Policy Research

Experience in economic research, teaching, policy analysis, and empirical data analysis.

Curriculum Vitae

My CV contains additional information on education, research, publications, teaching, awards, presentations, service, and professional experience.

View CV

Contact

I welcome conversations about research, academic collaboration, energy markets, applied economics, and related opportunities.