I am a Ph.D. student in Economics at the University of Calgary,
with research interests in energy economics, environmental economics,
and industrial organization. I am especially interested in how firms
and consumers respond to policy changes, market conditions, and geopolitical shocks,
particularly in energy markets.
Energy Economics
Applied Econometrics
Industrial Organization
Commodity Markets
I am a P.hD. Student in Economics at the University
of Calgary. My research lies at the intersection of
energy economics, industrial organization, applied
econometrics, and international economics.
A central theme of my work is understanding how
geopolitical events and policy interventions change
the behavior of firms and markets. I am particularly
interested in oil and petroleum markets, sanctions,
international trade, competition, price transmission,
maritime activity, and energy security.
My research combines large administrative and
commercial datasets with causal inference, panel
econometrics, event study designs, time-series
methods, and machine learning techniques.
Research
My research examines energy markets, geopolitical shocks,
sanctions, competition, pricing, and firm behavior.
Working Paper
Russian Oil Sanctions and the Reallocation of
Economic Rents
Ajornie Taylor
This paper examines how Western sanctions on Russian oil
affected a major non-sanctioning buyer. Using refinery,
trade, benchmark-price, and retail fuel data from India,
I study how discounted Russian crude altered refinery
production, margins, and domestic price transmission.
The results provide evidence on how sanctions redistribute
economic rents across producers, intermediaries, and
consumers.
Peer-reviewed research published in academic journals.
Economic Modelling, 2026
The Workforce Paradox: Do Extreme Natural Disasters
Accelerate or Undermine Labour Productivity?
Nadine McCloud, Wendel Ivey, and Ajornie Taylor
This paper studies the long-run economic consequences of
extreme natural disasters using Hurricane Gilbert in Jamaica
as a case study. Using synthetic control methods, we find
that labour productivity increased in the years immediately
following the hurricane but declined substantially over the
longer term. The results highlight how the economic effects
of major natural disasters can persist for decades, even
when the initial recovery appears relatively strong.
Does Inflation Targeting Matter for International Trade?
A Synthetic Control Analysis
Nadine McCloud and Ajornie Taylor
This paper examines whether adopting an inflation-targeting
regime affects international trade. Using synthetic control
methods across a group of developed and developing economies,
we compare the evolution of trade after inflation targeting
with counterfactual outcomes for each country. The results
show that the effects of inflation targeting on trade differ
considerably across countries and over time.
Empirical Economics, Volume 63, Issue 5,
pp. 2427–2478.